Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
BOL
4 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
0 - 4
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 0
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1996 |
JUN
1 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
0 - 0
JUN
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
CCP
1 - 0
BSC
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |