Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-3
Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
CRI
2 - 1
BOL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
SAN
2 - 4
BOL
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRI
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |