Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 4-7
Bolívar vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
ACS
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 1
BOL
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PAL
5 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
TIG
1 - 1
BOL
22%
21%
56%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 2
LAN
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 4
NOB
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
TAL
1 - 1
LAN
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
4 - 3
LAN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 2
BOC
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |