Bolívar vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
3 - 1
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
BLO
2 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2002 |
OLM
4 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
BOL
7 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 1
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATP
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
ATP
1 - 1
AME
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
ATP
2 - 0
JUV
94%
5%
1%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
OLM
2 - 1
ATP
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATP
5%
14%
82%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |