Bolívar vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPE
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
3 - 2
LIG
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
4 - 2
CUE
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
7 - 1
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1977 |
OPE
4 - 0
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1975 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAC
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
CRZ
2 - 3
NAC
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |