Bolívar vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
3 - 0
MBB
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
COB
3 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
OPE
4 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
BVS
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 1
STR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
BVS
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
COB
1 - 0
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
ATM
1 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
4 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |