Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Bolívar vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 2
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 2
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
1 - 0
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
2 - 0
QUI
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
BUC
0 - 1
AME
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BSC
2 - 0
BUC
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |