Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-3
Bolívar vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
BOL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1993 |
UCO
3 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 0
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 1
BOL
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
NAC
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
AME
4 - 2
SCI
56%
26%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
SCI
1 - 1
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |