Bolívar vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
OLI
3 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
UTC
2 - 2
BOL
45%
23%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1986 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
CSL
2 - 2
AME
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1986 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |