Bolívar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 1
BLO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BLO
1 - 0
BOL
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
STR
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |