Bolivar SC vs Anzoátegui FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
16º
11º
36
2º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
44.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
56% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DPU
4 - 0
BSC
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BSC
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
MIR
51%
29%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
DNE
2 - 0
BSC
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 1
DRZ
32%
23%
45%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Anzoátegui FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
AAF
34%
30%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 0
DNE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 3
MAR
27%
22%
51%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |