Bolañego vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolañego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
CDM
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MES
1 - 1
LAS
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAS
3 - 1
ATL
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MCR
2 - 2
LAS
33%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 2
CDB
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
MES
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 6
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MCR
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
3 - 0
VIL
56%
20%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
LME
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |