Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
11º
11º
19
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 58 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
12.5% | 99.5% |
|
Next round
|
39.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemians 1905
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 0
BOH
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUK
1 - 0
BOH
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
BAN
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
4 - 0
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 7
BOH
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
STB
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUK
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
SHR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TEP
1 - 4
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 2
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |