Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
12º
9º
39
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 70 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 57 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 56 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 38 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 33 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 24 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 12 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
10% | 99.5% |
|
Next round
|
55% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
35% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemians 1905
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
4 - 0
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 7
BOH
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
4 - 1
PAK
26%
22%
52%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
TNS
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
BBY
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 1
BAN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 3
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 2
LPO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 2
POG
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |