Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Bohemian FC vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOH
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 0
GAL
76%
18%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 3
BOH
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 0
DRO
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
BRW
1 - 2
BOH
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 3
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOH
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 0
SIR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
OLI
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 3
TRI
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |