Bohemian FC vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
5º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 0
BOH
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
BOH
5 - 0
CAO
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 1
BOH
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 2
BOH
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BOH
2 - 3
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
18%
26%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DER
2 - 0
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 3
DER
20%
27%
53%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |