Bogotá vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 3
SFE
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
REA
4 - 1
BOG
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
SFC
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 2
AFC
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 2
PAS
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |