Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 3-4
Bogotá vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
BOG
1 - 2
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOG
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
COR
2 - 0
BOG
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BOG
0 - 4
HUI
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 0
BOG
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
BJC
72%
18%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ORS
2 - 2
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOG
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |