Bogotá vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
16º
14º
24
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 35 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 33 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 29 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 28 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 25 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 25 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 24 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 20 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 20 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 18 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 16 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 14 |
15º
|
35.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 12 |
16º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
2% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
BOG
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 0
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
BOG
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
5 - 0
CUC
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
RSC
2 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 1
LLA
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 2
RSC
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
RSC
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |