Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
15º
9
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
BOG
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
5 - 0
CUC
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 2
COR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
REA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
REA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
QUI
29%
29%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
REA
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |