Bogotá vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
BOG
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 1
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOG
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 0
COR
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
PER
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
CUC
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 2
REA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
REA
4 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 4
REA
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
QUI
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |