Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
16º
11º
25
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
BOG
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
BOG
0 - 0
QUI
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BOG
1 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 0
BOG
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BJC
2 - 0
CAR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
PAT
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |