Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
BOG
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
0 - 3
PAT
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
3 - 2
COR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 2
SFE
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
BOG
1 - 1
PER
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |