Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BOG
2 - 0
RSC
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ORS
2 - 0
BOG
60%
24%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
CUC
3 - 1
BOG
70%
20%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
RSC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
CUC
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
REA
1 - 2
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
PER
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |