Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 2
TFC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
BOG
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
BUC
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |