Bogotá vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 1
BOG
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 0
RSC
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
BOG
58%
21%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 2
COR
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 0
BAR
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |