Bogotá vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 0
BOG
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOG
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 3
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +4 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 2
TFC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
MIL
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIL
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 2
MIL
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |