Bogotá vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
BOG
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 2
BOG
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
UNI
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 2
BOG
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 1
AFC
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
TFC
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
MIL
2 - 2
EQU
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 0
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 1
EQU
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |