Bogotá vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 0
BOG
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
BOG
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
2 - 2
QUI
19%
27%
54%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 0
BOG
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 1
BUC
22%
28%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAR
66%
23%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
4 - 1
FOR
18%
28%
55%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |