Bogotá vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOG
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 3
PAS
26%
29%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
BOG
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 2
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BOG
2 - 1
PAT
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |