Bogotá vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
14º
12
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 32 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 29 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 23 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 19 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 19 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 14 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
2.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 2
RSC
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 3
BOG
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 0
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
BOG
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
5 - 0
CUC
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CUC
3 - 0
TFC
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 0
BJC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
HUI
4 - 0
TFC
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
BOG
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
TFC
72%
20%
8%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |