Bogotá vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
8º
16º
11º
10
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 0
BOG
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
BOG
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 0
ORS
66%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
HUI
2 - 0
BOG
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
ENV
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 0
AFC
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
REA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
6 - 0
AFC
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
CUC
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |