Bogotá vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
58%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
16º
12º
10
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 31 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 30 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 27 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 16 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
1% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 2
BOG
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 2
COR
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
BOG
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
1 - 2
HUI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUC
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 1
CUC
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
2 - 1
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |