Bogotá vs Internacional de Palmira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
15º
15
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
1.5% | 70% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
BOG
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
0 - 1
BJC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
BOG
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
RSC
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
LLA
24%
29%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ORS
2 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
COR
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |