Bognor Regis Town vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 2
BOG
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 5
OPA
11%
18%
72%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 2
DAR
10%
20%
70%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 1
CHM
17%
23%
61%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 0
BOG
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WHY
3 - 1
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TOO
1 - 3
MER
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
ENF
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 0
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |