Bognor Regis Town vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
BOG
61%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BOG
8 - 0
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POT
2 - 2
BOG
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
YEL
3 - 2
BOG
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
YEL
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
DOR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
KIN
4 - 1
FOL
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
HOR
4 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 3
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
BUR
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |