Bognor Regis Town vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OXF
4 - 0
BOG
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 3
HEM
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 1
STA
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GLO
3 - 2
BOG
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
0 - 2
HAV
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
3 - 0
WEA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 4
CHM
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
4 - 2
WHI
60%
20%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHM
2 - 1
POO
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |