Bogen vs Wolfratshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KOT
3 - 0
BOG
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
ERL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
KIR
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAH
3 - 1
BOG
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
5 - 3
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wolfratshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SON
0 - 0
WOL
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WOL
4 - 0
FCP
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ERL
1 - 2
WOL
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 0
SCH
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VRG
5 - 0
WOL
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |