Bogen vs Vilzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 2
RAI
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
4 - 1
BOG
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 1
BOG
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DAC
1 - 1
BOG
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 3
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAN
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
DAC
2 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
ROS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 0
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAN
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |