Bogen vs Unterhaching II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
BOG
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
BOG
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
SON
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 0
BOG
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 1
RAI
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unterhaching II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 4
HAH
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SON
3 - 0
UNT
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
UNT
2 - 0
RAI
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNT
0 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
5 - 0
UNT
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |