Bogen vs Unterföhring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFF
4 - 2
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 6
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 1
WAC
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 3
BOG
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 2
PUL
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Unterföhring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
UNT
4 - 1
WOL
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
WAC
2 - 2
UNT
50%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
UNT
0 - 0
SCH
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PUL
1 - 3
UNT
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SON
5 - 5
UNT
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |