Bogen vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 0
BOG
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 1
RAI
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UNT
0 - 1
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 0
WOL
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOG
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SON
1 - 3
RAI
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SON
1 - 1
VIL
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SON
2 - 3
LAN
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DAC
1 - 2
SON
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SON
1 - 2
ROS
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |