Bogen vs Raisting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
UNT
0 - 1
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 0
WOL
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
BOG
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 1
BOG
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 1
LAN
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raisting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 0
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 0
RAI
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
RAI
3 - 1
DAC
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 0
RAI
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RAI
3 - 1
BAD
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |