Bogen vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
4 - 1
BOG
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FCP
1 - 1
BOG
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DAC
1 - 1
BOG
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 3
SCH
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 2
DJK
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 2
FCP
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RAI
4 - 1
DJK
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RAI
4 - 0
PUL
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
FCP
0 - 0
RAI
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UNT
0 - 11
RAI
11%
19%
71%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |