Bogen vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DAC
1 - 1
BOG
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BOG
0 - 2
PUL
15%
22%
64%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
UNT
1 - 0
BOG
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOG
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SON
4 - 1
BOG
67%
20%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FCG
1 - 2
HEI
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HEI
0 - 0
RAI
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HEI
2 - 2
DAC
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PUL
0 - 1
HEI
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 6
BAY
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +1 |