Bogen vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 3
LAN
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROS
4 - 0
BOG
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 2
UNT
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SON
2 - 1
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ROS
3 - 4
HEI
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 1
SON
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCP
3 - 2
HEI
35%
22%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
2 - 2
ERL
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 0
HEI
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |