Bogen vs FC Moosinning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 0
VFB
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOG
61%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCT
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
TKL
1 - 4
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
4 - 0
SCN
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Moosinning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 1
ASD
11%
15%
74%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
FRE
4 - 2
FCM
87%
10%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |