Bogen vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
UNT
2 - 0
BOG
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 1
AFF
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 2
WOL
60%
21%
20%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WAC
1 - 2
BOG
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 2
SCH
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
EIC
3 - 1
WOL
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
WAC
2 - 3
EIC
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
EIC
0 - 2
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 0
EIC
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 0
HAH
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |