Bogen vs Aichach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
UNT
4 - 2
BOG
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
EIC
4 - 2
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 3
UNT
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFF
4 - 2
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WOL
1 - 6
BOG
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aichach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 3
AIC
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AIC
3 - 1
WAC
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 3
AIC
25%
23%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AIC
4 - 3
PUL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 2
AIC
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |