Bogen vs Affing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 2
WOL
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WAC
1 - 2
BOG
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 2
SCH
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PUL
3 - 0
BOG
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 1
HAH
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
AFF
2 - 2
ISM
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 2
AFF
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AFF
1 - 4
SON
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
WAC
3 - 0
AFF
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AFF
2 - 4
HAH
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |